Brexit cannot deliver better trade deals

Why leave the European Union? The UK cannot negotiate trade deals with the rest of the world better than those negotiated by us and for us as part of the EU.

UK trade deals with the world

Sovereignty is the freedom to make independent trade deals , free from our undemocratic European “overlords” who want to dominate us as they did in WW2.

But what trade deals do we expect to make with our “new partners”? Will the terms be better than those negotiated as part of the EU?

Why are we not content with the trade deals that the EU makes with us and on our behalf? We benefit directly from them. Do we think we can make better deals from a poorer negotiating position (on our own = 60M people, in the EU =400M people)?

Why can’t the UK broker trade deals from within the EU for the benefit of the UK and for the EU as a whole?

Perhaps we just want to get the credit. To claim ownership and control. But the credit for what? Are we willing to exchange good terms for imaginary control?

We would not just have to negotiate with the rest of the world but also one or more trade deals with the EU. What deal could be better than membership?

Freedom to invest in the NHS

There is nothing stopping us investing in the NHS as part of the EU. We put in money but we get so much more. We get friendships and partners.

Trade deals for the UK outside of the EU would be poorer than those obtainted as part of the EU

Why remain in the EU?

Freedom of movement enables EU nationals to come here and UK nationals go to Europe, for love or for work.

Cooperation in science and technology: helps to improve standards and education across Europe. The UK cooperates in common commercial and educational research programs.

The Single Market is free trade with 27 local countries based on standards. Standards are not controls, they underpin the single market to enable free trade.

A Customs Union provides for frictionless trade. Any no-deal infers added-friction trade. The deal on offer does not offer better terms than membership. Brexit includes freedom to negotiate poorer trade deals.

Single currency: the price transparency of a single currency benefits all traders who buy and sell across Europe. Even if we are not in the single currency now, I believe we should remain and join it.

The Johnson situation

Johnson is offering a no-deal. The consequences of no-deal are the end of freedom of movement and +10% on imports from the EU. The end of all cooperation and collaboration.

What is the trade and cooperation deal on offer? Are the terms of our future trade deal as good as membership? If so, what specific terms can we expect to be better than membership?

Do we want the same terms as membership with no constraints? We are perhaps looking for opt-outs again? Do we expect that trade from outside the European Union will be constraint-free? All deals include constraints and compromise.

If terms with the EU are less advantageous than membership, do we expect this to be balanced by the advantages of independent deals with the rest of the world? We cannot get better deals on our own than as members of the EU.

The current deal on offer is stuck at the questions over the Irish border.

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